Prelims1
Middleweight
Jose Daniel Medina vs Dusko Todorovic
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jose Daniel Medina
Dusko Todorovic
42%
58%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
11-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
13-7
L2
Current streak
L3
2
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Daniel Medina: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Todorovic: 16 sig / 2 TD
Jose Daniel Medina
Dusko Todorovic
29
Sig strikes landed
36
56
Sig strikes attempted
63
44
Total strikes landed
53
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
83s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Jose Daniel Medina
"Chicho"
11-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
L3
Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
13-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 3-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
L
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—