Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tatiana Suarez
Amanda Lemos
77%
23%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
35
Age
Δ 4y
38
13-2
Career record
Δ 17 pp
16-6-1
L1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Suarez: 20 sig / 3 TD ·
Lemos: 23 sig / 0 TD
Tatiana Suarez
Amanda Lemos
38
Sig strikes landed
24
73
Sig strikes attempted
52
82
Total strikes landed
47
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.2
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
419s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Tatiana Suarez
13-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
L
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
Blue corner
W1
Amanda Lemos
16-6-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—