Prelims1
Welterweight
Max Griffin vs Chris Curtis
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Max Griffin
Chris Curtis
26%
74%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
40
Age
Δ 2y
38
20-14
Career record
Δ 11 pp
32-14
L1
Current streak
L2
17
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Griffin: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Curtis: 64 sig / 0 TD
Max Griffin
Chris Curtis
69
Sig strikes landed
72
160
Sig strikes attempted
146
80
Total strikes landed
80
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
97s
Control time
46s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
17 fights · 8-9
Last 5
L
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
Blue corner
L2
Chris Curtis
"Action-Man"
32-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
10 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—