Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Karine Silva vs Dione Barbosa
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
·United Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Karine Silva
Dione Barbosa
75%
25%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
32
Age
Δ 2y
33
19-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
10-4
L1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Barbosa: 31 sig / 3 TD
Karine Silva
Dione Barbosa
31
Sig strikes landed
26
75
Sig strikes attempted
70
62
Total strikes landed
46
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
232s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Karine Silva
"Killer"
19-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
Blue corner
W1
Dione Barbosa
"The Witch"
10-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—