Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Edson Barboza
Drakkar Klose
45%
55%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
40
Age
Δ 2y
37
24-15
Career record
Δ 15 pp
16-4-1
L1
Current streak
L1
30
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barboza: 71 sig / 0 TD ·
Klose: 53 sig / 0 TD
Edson Barboza
Drakkar Klose
67
Sig strikes landed
70
136
Sig strikes attempted
132
88
Total strikes landed
98
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
80s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
30 fights · 18-12
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
L1
Drakkar Klose
16-4-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—