Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jared Cannonier
Michael Page
32%
68%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
41
Age
Δ 3y
38
19-9
Career record
Δ 22 pp
26-3
W1
Current streak
W1
19
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cannonier: 20 sig / 2 TD ·
Page: 29 sig / 0 TD
Jared Cannonier
Michael Page
51
Sig strikes landed
55
95
Sig strikes attempted
112
70
Total strikes landed
76
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
87s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
78"
Stance
Switch
Age
41
In our database
19 fights · 11-8
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Michael Page
"Venom"
26-3
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Switch
Age
38
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
L
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—