Back to UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Prelims1 Featherweight

Mohammad Yahya vs Steven Nguyen

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Mohammad Yahya
Steven Nguyen
54% 46%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
31
Age
Δ 1y
32
12-7
Career record
Δ 14 pp
10-3
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Yahya: 57 sig / 0 TD · Nguyen: 92 sig / 0 TD
Mohammad Yahya
Steven Nguyen
48
Sig strikes landed
47
115
Sig strikes attempted
125
57
Total strikes landed
62
2.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
159s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Mohammad Yahya

"The UAE Warrior"
12-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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Blue corner
L1

Steven Nguyen

"The Ninja"
10-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
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