Back to UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Ibo Aslan vs Billy Elekana

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder ·Etihad Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ibo Aslan
Billy Elekana
63% 37%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
77"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
14-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
10-3
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Aslan: 28 sig / 0 TD · Elekana: 35 sig / 0 TD
Ibo Aslan
Billy Elekana
30
Sig strikes landed
21
48
Sig strikes attempted
41
47
Total strikes landed
26
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.9
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
104s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ibo Aslan

"The Last Ottoman"
14-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
—
Blue corner
L1

Billy Elekana

"Son of Susie"
10-3
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—