Back to UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Martin Buday vs Marcus Buchecha

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder ·Etihad Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Martin Buday
Marcus Buchecha
82% 18%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
W2
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Buday: 41 sig / 0 TD · Buchecha: 24 sig / 1 TD
Martin Buday
Marcus Buchecha
60
Sig strikes landed
32
91
Sig strikes attempted
72
79
Total strikes landed
42
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
166s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Martin Buday

"Badys"
17-2
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
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W UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
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L UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
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W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
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W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
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Blue corner

Marcus Buchecha

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36