Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Amanda Ribas vs Tabatha Ricci
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Amanda Ribas
Tabatha Ricci
51%
49%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
61"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
13-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
12-5
L2
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ribas: 30 sig / 1 TD ·
Ricci: 34 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Ribas
Tabatha Ricci
68
Sig strikes landed
65
158
Sig strikes attempted
152
96
Total strikes landed
89
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.4
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
223s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Amanda Ribas
13-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
L1
Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
12-5
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—