Prelims2
Middleweight
Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
·Smoothie King Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Brunno Ferreira
Jackson McVey
60%
40%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
77"
33
Age
Δ 6y
26
W1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ferreira: 7 sig / 1 TD ·
McVey: 4 sig / 0 TD
Brunno Ferreira
Jackson McVey
25
Sig strikes landed
28
50
Sig strikes attempted
53
41
Total strikes landed
35
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.2
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
136s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brunno Ferreira
"The Hulk"
16-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
Blue corner
Jackson McVey
"The Moose"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26