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Main Featherweight

Dan Ige vs Patricio Pitbull

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 ·Smoothie King Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Patricio Pitbull
25% 75%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
34
Age
Δ 4y
38
20-11
Career record
Δ 14 pp
37-10
W1
Current streak
L1
19
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ige: 47 sig / 0 TD · Pitbull: 55 sig / 5 TD
Dan Ige
Patricio Pitbull
42
Sig strikes landed
33
84
Sig strikes attempted
75
57
Total strikes landed
47
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
63s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Dan Ige

"100K"
20-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 19 fights · 11-8
Last 5
W UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—
L UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
L UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
Blue corner
L1

Patricio Pitbull

37-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
—