Main
Lightweight
Michael Johnson vs Daniel Zellhuber
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
·Smoothie King Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Johnson
Daniel Zellhuber
27%
73%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
39
Age
Δ 13y
26
26-20
Career record
Δ 18 pp
15-5
W2
Current streak
L1
30
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johnson: 80 sig / 0 TD ·
Zellhuber: 52 sig / 0 TD
Michael Johnson
Daniel Zellhuber
70
Sig strikes landed
74
172
Sig strikes attempted
184
107
Total strikes landed
86
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.70
Knockdowns
0.50
136s
Control time
31s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
4%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
26-20
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
30 fights · 15-15
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
15-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—