Prelims1
Bantamweight
Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
·Smoothie King Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kyler Phillips
Vinicius Oliveira
26%
74%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
12-6
Career record
Δ 19 pp
24-4
L1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Phillips: 49 sig / 0 TD ·
Oliveira: 96 sig / 1 TD
Kyler Phillips
Vinicius Oliveira
56
Sig strikes landed
67
139
Sig strikes attempted
155
64
Total strikes landed
88
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.1
3.4
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
46s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kyler Phillips
"The Matrix"
12-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
W3
Vinicius Oliveira
"LokDog"
24-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—