Back to UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Prelims2 Welterweight

Adam Fugitt vs Islam Dulatov

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 ·Smoothie King Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Adam Fugitt
Islam Dulatov
26% 74%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
36
Age
Δ 10y
27
W1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Fugitt: 14 sig / 0 TD · Dulatov: 21 sig / 0 TD
Adam Fugitt
Islam Dulatov
36
Sig strikes landed
41
80
Sig strikes attempted
92
49
Total strikes landed
57
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
90s
Control time
167s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Adam Fugitt

11-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
L UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
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W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
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L UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
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Blue corner

Islam Dulatov

"The Ripper"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27