Prelims1
Lightweight
Terrance McKinney vs Viacheslav Borshchev
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Terrance McKinney
Viacheslav Borshchev
80%
20%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
19-8
Career record
Δ 23 pp
8-8-1
W1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McKinney: 1 sig / 1 TD ·
Borshchev: 2 sig / 0 TD
Terrance McKinney
Viacheslav Borshchev
37
Sig strikes landed
23
75
Sig strikes attempted
51
48
Total strikes landed
33
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.9
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
132s
Control time
26s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
19-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. I…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
Blue corner
L1
Viacheslav Borshchev
"Slava Claus"
8-8-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
D
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—