Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Viviane Araujo
Tracy Cortez
36%
64%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
39
Age
Δ 7y
32
14-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-4
W1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Araujo: 22 sig / 0 TD ·
Cortez: 65 sig / 3 TD
Viviane Araujo
Tracy Cortez
64
Sig strikes landed
69
137
Sig strikes attempted
154
89
Total strikes landed
106
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.9
Takedowns attempted
5.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
144s
Control time
217s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
14-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
Blue corner
L1
Tracy Cortez
12-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—