Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Hyder Amil
Jose Delgado
48%
52%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
35
Age
Δ 8y
27
12-2
Career record
Δ 0 pp
12-2
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Amil: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Delgado: 9 sig / 0 TD
Hyder Amil
Jose Delgado
30
Sig strikes landed
40
44
Sig strikes attempted
79
46
Total strikes landed
46
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
103s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Hyder Amil
"The Hurricane"
12-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jose Delgado
12-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—