Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Beneil Dariush
Renato Moicano
60%
40%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
36
Age
36
23-9-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
21-8-1
L2
Current streak
L1
23
UFC fights in our DB
18
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dariush: 56 sig / 5 TD ·
Moicano: 31 sig / 0 TD
Beneil Dariush
Renato Moicano
40
Sig strikes landed
43
86
Sig strikes attempted
85
53
Total strikes landed
62
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
192s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Beneil Dariush
23-9-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
23 fights · 16-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
Blue corner
L1
Renato Moicano
21-8-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
18 fights · 12-6
Last 5
L
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—