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Aziz Khaydarov vs Mansher Khera

Road to UFC 4.1 + 4.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Aziz Khaydarov
Mansher Khera
71% 29%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Khaydarov: 39 sig / 0 TD · Khera: 42 sig / 2 TD
Aziz Khaydarov
Mansher Khera
40
Sig strikes landed
33
85
Sig strikes attempted
72
57
Total strikes landed
73
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
124s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Aziz Khaydarov

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

Mansher Khera

"New Era"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33