Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yin Shuai
Kai Yoshida
73%
27%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
28
Age
Δ 3y
26
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Shuai: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Yoshida: 20 sig / 0 TD
Yin Shuai
Kai Yoshida
35
Sig strikes landed
36
62
Sig strikes attempted
72
69
Total strikes landed
58
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
270s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yin Shuai
"Black Panther"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Road to UFC 3.3 + 3.4
—
Blue corner
Kai Yoshida
"Scorpion"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26