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Keiichiro Nakamura vs EoJin Park

Road to UFC 4.1 + 4.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Keiichiro Nakamura
EoJin Park
54% 46%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
26
Age
Δ 3y
23

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nakamura: 29 sig / 0 TD · Park: 28 sig / 0 TD
Keiichiro Nakamura
EoJin Park
34
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
74
46
Total strikes landed
54
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
156s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Keiichiro Nakamura

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
Blue corner

EoJin Park

"Young Boss"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23