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Main Flyweight

Wataru Yamauchi vs Namsrai Batbayar

Road to UFC 4.1 + 4.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Wataru Yamauchi
Namsrai Batbayar
46% 54%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
26
Age
Δ 2y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Yamauchi: 37 sig / 0 TD · Batbayar: 33 sig / 2 TD
Wataru Yamauchi
Namsrai Batbayar
34
Sig strikes landed
37
73
Sig strikes attempted
76
46
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
108s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Wataru Yamauchi

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner

Namsrai Batbayar

"Steppe Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24