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Main Middleweight

Edmen Shahbazyan vs Andre Petroski

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Edmen Shahbazyan
Andre Petroski
74% 26%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34
17-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
14-6
W1
Current streak
W3
12
UFC fights in our DB
10

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Shahbazyan: 53 sig / 0 TD · Petroski: 34 sig / 2 TD
Edmen Shahbazyan
Andre Petroski
34
Sig strikes landed
30
67
Sig strikes attempted
61
48
Total strikes landed
47
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
96s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Edmen Shahbazyan

"The Golden Boy"
17-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
W UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Blue corner
W3

Andre Petroski

14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database 10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs…
L UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…