Main
Women's Flyweight
Rose Namajunas vs Miranda Maverick
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
·State Farm Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rose Namajunas
Miranda Maverick
39%
61%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
15-9
Career record
Δ 12 pp
18-6
L1
Current streak
W4
17
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Namajunas: 25 sig / 2 TD ·
Maverick: 25 sig / 0 TD
Rose Namajunas
Miranda Maverick
61
Sig strikes landed
61
122
Sig strikes attempted
131
87
Total strikes landed
96
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.9
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
124s
Control time
183s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15-9
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
17 fights · 11-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
Blue corner
W4
Miranda Maverick
"Fear The"
18-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
L
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—