Main
Lightweight
Rafael Fiziev vs Ignacio Bahamondes
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
·Baku Crystal Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rafael Fiziev
Ignacio Bahamondes
40%
60%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
13-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
18-7
L3
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fiziev: 62 sig / 4 TD ·
Bahamondes: 50 sig / 0 TD
Rafael Fiziev
Ignacio Bahamondes
63
Sig strikes landed
71
124
Sig strikes attempted
155
70
Total strikes landed
83
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.4
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
75s
Control time
47s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Rafael Fiziev
"Ataman"
13-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
L
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
Blue corner
W3
Ignacio Bahamondes
"La Jaula"
18-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—