Main
Heavyweight
Curtis Blaydes vs Rizvan Kuniev
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
·Baku Crystal Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Curtis Blaydes
Rizvan Kuniev
66%
34%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
L1
Current streak
—
19
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Blaydes: 56 sig / 2 TD ·
Kuniev: 45 sig / 0 TD
Curtis Blaydes
Rizvan Kuniev
37
Sig strikes landed
31
69
Sig strikes attempted
65
60
Total strikes landed
51
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
220s
Control time
105s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
19 fights · 13-5
Last 5
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
Blue corner
Rizvan Kuniev
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33