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Main Light Heavyweight

Jamahal Hill vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. ·Baku Crystal Hall
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jamahal Hill
Khalil Rountree Jr.
66% 34%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
12-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-8
L2
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
16

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Hill: 69 sig / 0 TD · Rountree Jr.: 102 sig / 0 TD
Jamahal Hill
Khalil Rountree Jr.
56
Sig strikes landed
43
109
Sig strikes attempted
88
61
Total strikes landed
44
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
-4s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
72%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jamahal Hill

"Sweet Dreams"
12-5 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
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L UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
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W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
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W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
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W UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
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Blue corner
L1

Khalil Rountree Jr.

15-8 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database 16 fights · 9-6
Last 5
L UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
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W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
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W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
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W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
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