Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sodiq Yusuff
Mairon Santos
26%
74%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
13-6
Career record
Δ 27 pp
19-1
L2
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yusuff: 36 sig / 1 TD ·
Santos: 40 sig / 0 TD
Sodiq Yusuff
Mairon Santos
50
Sig strikes landed
55
115
Sig strikes attempted
123
57
Total strikes landed
64
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.60
59s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Sodiq Yusuff
"Super"
13-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
W2
Mairon Santos
"The Legend"
19-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—