Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Luana Santos vs Tainara Lisboa
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Luana Santos
Tainara Lisboa
78%
22%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
25
Age
Δ 9y
34
10-3
Career record
Δ 10 pp
8-4
L1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Santos: 15 sig / 2 TD ·
Lisboa: 6 sig / 0 TD
Luana Santos
Tainara Lisboa
35
Sig strikes landed
30
66
Sig strikes attempted
57
66
Total strikes landed
58
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
162s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Luana Santos
10-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
Blue corner
W2
Tainara Lisboa
"Thai Panther"
8-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—