Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Gabe Green
Matheus Camilo
45%
55%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
32
Age
Δ 8y
24
L2
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Green: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Camilo: 13 sig / 2 TD
Gabe Green
Matheus Camilo
49
Sig strikes landed
52
95
Sig strikes attempted
116
62
Total strikes landed
65
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
100s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Gabe Green
"Gifted"
12-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
Blue corner
Matheus Camilo
"Jaguar"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24