Back to UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Prelims1 Welterweight

Khaos Williams vs Andreas Gustafsson

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 ·Prudential Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Khaos Williams
Andreas Gustafsson
68% 32%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
L1
Current streak
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9
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Williams: 39 sig / 0 TD · Gustafsson: 98 sig / 8 TD
Khaos Williams
Andreas Gustafsson
59
Sig strikes landed
42
121
Sig strikes attempted
97
72
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Khaos Williams

"The OxFighter"
16-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
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W UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
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L UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
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W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
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Blue corner

Andreas Gustafsson

"Bane"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34