Prelims1
Heavyweight
Serghei Spivac vs Waldo Cortes Acosta
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Serghei Spivac
Waldo Cortes Acosta
56%
44%
Why
78"
Reach
78"
30
Age
Δ 3y
34
18-7
Career record
Δ 14 pp
18-3
L1
Current streak
W4
13
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Spivac: 48 sig / 2 TD ·
Cortes Acosta: 110 sig / 0 TD
Serghei Spivac
Waldo Cortes Acosta
41
Sig strikes landed
46
88
Sig strikes attempted
90
52
Total strikes landed
67
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
127s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Serghei Spivac
"Polar Bear"
18-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
L
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
Blue corner
W4
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—