Back to UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Prelims2 Women's Flyweight

Ariane da Silva vs Wang Cong

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 ·Prudential Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Ariane da Silva
Wang Cong
51% 49%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
17-12
Career record
Δ 32 pp
10-1
L2
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
da Silva: 63 sig / 0 TD · Cong: 143 sig / 0 TD
Ariane da Silva
Wang Cong
51
Sig strikes landed
53
124
Sig strikes attempted
108
76
Total strikes landed
64
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
142s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Ariane da Silva

"Queen of Violence"
17-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 13 fights · 6-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
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L UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
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W UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
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W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
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Blue corner
W1

Wang Cong

"The Joker"
10-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
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L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
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W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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