Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Azamat Murzakanov vs Brendson Ribeiro
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Azamat Murzakanov
Brendson Ribeiro
67%
33%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 10"
81"
36
Age
Δ 8y
29
17-1
Career record
Δ 30 pp
18-10
W4
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Murzakanov: 27 sig / 0 TD ·
Ribeiro: 8 sig / 0 TD
Azamat Murzakanov
Brendson Ribeiro
48
Sig strikes landed
37
76
Sig strikes attempted
91
57
Total strikes landed
36
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.3
Takedowns attempted
0.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
-5s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Azamat Murzakanov
"The Professional"
17-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
Blue corner
W2
Brendson Ribeiro
"The Gorilla"
18-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—