Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bruno Silva
Joshua Van
23%
77%
Why
65"
Reach
65"
35
Age
Δ 12y
24
15-9-2
Career record
Δ 32 pp
18-2
L1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Silva: 76 sig / 1 TD ·
Van: 125 sig / 0 TD
Bruno Silva
Joshua Van
63
Sig strikes landed
69
114
Sig strikes attempted
129
66
Total strikes landed
81
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
102s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bruno Silva
"Bulldog"
15-9-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
W3
Joshua Van
"The Fearless"
18-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—