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Bolaji Oki vs Michael Aswell Jr.

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Bolaji Oki
Michael Aswell Jr.
49% 51%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
30
Age
Δ 5y
25
L1
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Oki: 136 sig / 0 TD · Aswell Jr.: 118 sig / 0 TD
Bolaji Oki
Michael Aswell Jr.
40
Sig strikes landed
41
94
Sig strikes attempted
92
58
Total strikes landed
59
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
111s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Bolaji Oki

"The Zulu Warrior"
10-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
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W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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Blue corner

Michael Aswell Jr.

"The Texas Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25