Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Rayanne dos Santos vs Alice Ardelean
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rayanne dos Santos
Alice Ardelean
57%
43%
Why
62"
Reach
62"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
14-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
12-8
L2
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
dos Santos: 78 sig / 1 TD ·
Ardelean: 154 sig / 1 TD
Rayanne dos Santos
Alice Ardelean
69
Sig strikes landed
68
147
Sig strikes attempted
154
83
Total strikes landed
85
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
91s
Control time
191s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Rayanne dos Santos
14-10
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
Blue corner
L2
Alice Ardelean
12-8
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—