Prelims1
Lightweight
Kurt Holobaugh vs Jordan Leavitt
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Kurt Holobaugh
Jordan Leavitt
47%
53%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
39
Age
Δ 9y
30
22-11
Career record
Δ 10 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Holobaugh: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Leavitt: 1 sig / 3 TD
Kurt Holobaugh
Jordan Leavitt
27
Sig strikes landed
30
53
Sig strikes attempted
72
48
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kurt Holobaugh
"The Hurt"
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
8 fights · 2-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
W
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
L
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
Blue corner
L1
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
13-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—