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Main Bantamweight

Montel Jackson vs Daniel Marcos

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Montel Jackson
Daniel Marcos
47% 53%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
69"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
16-4
Career record
Δ 15 pp
19-1
W5
Current streak
W4
10
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jackson: 30 sig / 2 TD · Marcos: 17 sig / 3 TD
Montel Jackson
Daniel Marcos
39
Sig strikes landed
39
83
Sig strikes attempted
73
47
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W5

Montel Jackson

"Quik"
16-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
W UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
Blue corner
W4

Daniel Marcos

"Soncora"
19-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 5 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill