Main
Bantamweight
Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
·Wells Fargo Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Cameron Smotherman
Serhiy Sidey
48%
52%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
13-7
Career record
Δ 22 pp
13-2
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Smotherman: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Sidey: 55 sig / 5 TD
Cameron Smotherman
Serhiy Sidey
108
Sig strikes landed
76
193
Sig strikes attempted
186
87
Total strikes landed
74
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
52s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cameron Smotherman
"The Baby-Faced Killa"
13-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Serhiy Sidey
13-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—