Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
·Wells Fargo Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yana Santos
Miesha Tate
59%
41%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
65"
36
Age
Δ 3y
39
18-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
21-10
W1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Santos: 66 sig / 0 TD ·
Tate: 40 sig / 1 TD
Yana Santos
Miesha Tate
59
Sig strikes landed
49
115
Sig strikes attempted
106
93
Total strikes landed
90
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.9
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
153s
Control time
245s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Yana Santos
18-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
Blue corner
W1
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
21-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
L
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—