Main
Middleweight
Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
·Wells Fargo Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Reinier de Ridder
Bo Nickal
79%
21%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
35
Age
Δ 5y
29
22-4
Career record
Δ 5 pp
9-1
W2
Current streak
W4
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
de Ridder: 22 sig / 0 TD ·
Nickal: 8 sig / 1 TD
Reinier de Ridder
Bo Nickal
20
Sig strikes landed
7
39
Sig strikes attempted
26
42
Total strikes landed
16
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
173s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
40%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Reinier de Ridder
"RdR"
22-4
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
Blue corner
W4
Bo Nickal
9-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—