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Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo ·Wells Fargo Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Cory Sandhagen
Deiveson Figueiredo
51% 49%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
33
Age
Δ 4y
37
18-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
25-8-1
L1
Current streak
L1
14
UFC fights in our DB
18

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Sandhagen: 54 sig / 2 TD · Figueiredo: 6 sig / 2 TD
Cory Sandhagen
Deiveson Figueiredo
51
Sig strikes landed
46
110
Sig strikes attempted
88
79
Total strikes landed
56
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
139s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Cory Sandhagen

18-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database 14 fights · 10-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
Blue corner
L1

Deiveson Figueiredo

"Deus da Guerra"
25-8-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 18 fights · 13-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
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L UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—