Prelims1
Bantamweight
Da'Mon Blackshear vs Alatengheili
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
·T-Mobile Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Da'Mon Blackshear
Alatengheili
69%
31%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
66"
31
Age
Δ 3y
33
18-8-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-10-2
W2
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Blackshear: 125 sig / 0 TD ·
Alatengheili: 61 sig / 0 TD
Da'Mon Blackshear
Alatengheili
43
Sig strikes landed
38
88
Sig strikes attempted
86
59
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
112s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Da'Mon Blackshear
"The Monster"
18-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
Blue corner
W1
Alatengheili
"The Mongolian Knight"
18-10-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—