Prelims1
Bantamweight
Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cameron Saaiman
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
·T-Mobile Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Malcolm Wellmaker
Cameron Saaiman
58%
42%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
31
Age
Δ 7y
24
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Wellmaker: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Saaiman: 9 sig / 0 TD
Malcolm Wellmaker
Cameron Saaiman
45
Sig strikes landed
49
89
Sig strikes attempted
100
60
Total strikes landed
68
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
127s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Malcolm Wellmaker
"The Machine"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
Blue corner
L2
Cameron Saaiman
"MSP"
9-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
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W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
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W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—