Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Jaqueline Amorim vs Polyana Viana
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
·T-Mobile Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jaqueline Amorim
Polyana Viana
76%
24%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
12-2
Career record
Δ 29 pp
13-10
W3
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Amorim: 6 sig / 2 TD ·
Viana: 0 sig / 0 TD
Jaqueline Amorim
Polyana Viana
28
Sig strikes landed
22
55
Sig strikes attempted
50
60
Total strikes landed
39
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
231s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
52%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Jaqueline Amorim
12-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Ty…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
Blue corner
L2
Polyana Viana
"Dama de Ferro"
13-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—