Back to UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Prelims1 Featherweight

Timmy Cuamba vs Roberto Romero

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates ·T-Mobile Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Timmy Cuamba
Roberto Romero
59% 41%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
25
10-5
Career record
Δ 13 pp
8-6-1
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cuamba: 33 sig / 1 TD · Romero: 35 sig / 0 TD
Timmy Cuamba
Roberto Romero
62
Sig strikes landed
52
142
Sig strikes attempted
105
73
Total strikes landed
63
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
148s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Timmy Cuamba

"Twilight"
10-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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Blue corner
L1

Roberto Romero

"El Charro Negro"
8-6-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—