Main
Middleweight
Ikram Aliskerov vs Andre Muniz
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
·T-Mobile Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ikram Aliskerov
Andre Muniz
64%
36%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
17-3
Career record
Δ 9 pp
25-8
L1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Aliskerov: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Muniz: 16 sig / 0 TD
Ikram Aliskerov
Andre Muniz
25
Sig strikes landed
19
45
Sig strikes attempted
45
34
Total strikes landed
34
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.7
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
49s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ikram Aliskerov
17-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
Blue corner
W1
Andre Muniz
"Sergipano"
25-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—