Prelims1
Welterweight
Mike Malott vs Charles Radtke
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena
·Bell Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mike Malott
Charles Radtke
70%
30%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
15-2-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
13-5
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Malott: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Radtke: 10 sig / 0 TD
Mike Malott
Charles Radtke
24
Sig strikes landed
19
49
Sig strikes attempted
36
37
Total strikes landed
31
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
92s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mike Malott
"Proper"
15-2-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
W1
Charles Radtke
"Chuck Buffalo"
13-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—